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Sevilla vs Osasuna

Monday, October 26, 2026

Sevilla

50%

Draw

28%

Osasuna

22%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Sevilla

2 — 0

Osasuna

Sevilla wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Sevilla.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Sevilla	Sevilla	50%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Sevilla	Sevilla	50%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sevilla	Sevilla	53%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Sevilla	XDraw	2Osasuna
Polymarket	1.99	3.53	4.68
Kalshi	2.00	3.57	4.55
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.90	3.62	5.07

Sportsbook Odds20 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Sevilla	XDraw	2Osasuna
Betfair	1.88	3.60	5.10
1xBet	1.85	3.60	5.08
Matchbook	1.88	3.60	5.10
Unibet (NL)	1.81	3.45	5.10
Unibet (SE)	1.81	3.45	5.10
Pinnacle	1.83	3.53	4.99
William Hill	1.80	3.30	4.60
Marathon	1.82	3.54	5.00
BetOnline	1.84	3.42	5.00
Betclic	1.74	3.38	4.55
Betsson	1.80	3.40	4.85
Codere	1.82	3.50	4.70
Coolbet	1.86	3.50	4.80
LeoVegas	1.74	3.25	4.70
NordicBet	1.80	3.40	4.80
PMU	1.72	3.20	4.60
Tipico	1.77	3.40	5.00
Unibet (FR)	1.74	3.30	4.40
Winamax (DE)	1.76	3.50	4.40
Winamax (FR)	1.74	3.35	4.30
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)	1.90	3.62	5.07