Valencia
30%
Draw
30%
Athletic Bilbao
41%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Valencia
0 — 0
Athletic BilbaoDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Athletic Bilbao | Athletic Bilbao | 30% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Athletic Bilbao | Athletic Bilbao | 29% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Valencia | XDraw | 2Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.37 | 3.37 | 2.46 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.40 | 3.46 | 2.40 |
Valencia win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
ValenciaAthletic Bilbao
May 10, 26
Athletic Club
0-1
ValenciaFeb 4, 26
Valencia
1-2
Athletic ClubSep 20, 25
Valencia
2-0
Athletic ClubMay 18, 25
Valencia
0-1
Athletic ClubAug 28, 24
Athletic Club
1-0
ValenciaJan 20, 24
Valencia
1-0
Athletic ClubOct 29, 23
Athletic Club
2-2
ValenciaFeb 11, 23
Valencia
1-2
Athletic ClubFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao?
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao ended in a 0–0 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Athletic Bilbao was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket (closing prices: Valencia 30%, draw 30%, Athletic Bilbao 41%).
