Valencia
28%
Draw
27%
Villarreal
45%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Valencia
1 — 2
VillarrealVillarreal wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Villarreal.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Villarreal | Villarreal | 45% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Villarreal | Villarreal | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Villarreal | Villarreal | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Valencia | XDraw | 2Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.49 | 3.75 | 2.24 |
| Kalshi | 3.61 | 3.74 | 2.20 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.58 | 3.79 | 2.19 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Valencia | XDraw | 2Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
 Betfair | 3.55 | 3.75 | 2.18 |
 Matchbook | 3.55 | 3.75 | 2.18 |
 Unibet (NL) | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
 William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
 Marathon | 3.40 | 3.64 | 2.11 |
 BetOnline | 3.50 | 3.69 | 2.09 |
 1xBet | 3.49 | 3.73 | 2.17 |
 Betclic | 3.30 | 3.47 | 2.00 |
 Betsson | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.08 |
 Codere | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.10 |
 Coolbet | 3.53 | 3.65 | 2.12 |
 LeoVegas | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.02 |
 NordicBet | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
PMU | 3.15 | 3.40 | 1.97 |
 Tipico | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20 | 3.40 | 1.98 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.30 | 3.65 | 2.05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 3.58 | 3.79 | 2.19 |
Valencia win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
ValenciaVillarreal
Feb 22, 26
Villarreal
2-1
ValenciaOct 25, 25
Valencia
0-2
VillarrealFeb 15, 25
Villarreal
1-1
ValenciaAug 31, 24
Valencia
1-1
VillarrealMar 17, 24
Villarreal
1-0
ValenciaJan 2, 24
Valencia
3-1
VillarrealMay 3, 23
Valencia
1-1
VillarrealDec 31, 22
Villarreal
2-1
ValenciaLineups
Valencia4-4-2
Coach: J. Aguirre
1S. DimitrievskiG
24Pablo MaffeoD
5César TárregaD
12J. de HaasD
14José GayàD
27David OtorbiM
2G. RodríguezM
18PepeluM
11Luis RiojaM
8Javi GuerraF
7A. DanjumaF
Villarreal4-4-2
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
25P. GulácsiG
15S. MouriñoD
8J. FoythD
12Renato VeigaD
3A. FreemanD
11Ilias AkhomachM
16C. MaciaM
18P. GueyeM
17T. BuchananM
7Gerard MorenoF
22Ayoze PérezF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Valencia vs Villarreal?
Villarreal won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Villarreal was the favourite at 45% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Valencia 28%, draw 27%, Villarreal 45%).
