Villarreal
70%
Draw
18%
Espanyol
13%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Villarreal
0 — 1
Espanyol wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Espanyol.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 12% | ✗ Upset | |
| Villarreal | 13% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Villarreal | Villarreal | 13% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Villarreal | XDraw | 2Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 5.74 | 8.04 | |
| 1.44 | 5.67 | 7.84 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.46 | 5.52 | 7.45 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Villarreal | XDraw | 2Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 5.40 | 8.20 | |
| 1.44 | 5.43 | 7.21 | |
| 1.43 | 5.40 | 8.20 | |
| 1.38 | 5.60 | 7.50 | |
| 1.41 | 5.60 | 7.50 | |
| 1.40 | 5.40 | 7.63 | |
| 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.50 | |
| 1.42 | 5.35 | 7.10 | |
| 1.40 | 5.38 | 7.60 | |
| 1.35 | 5.00 | 6.60 | |
| 1.40 | 5.15 | 6.90 | |
| 1.38 | 5.40 | 7.00 | |
| 1.42 | 5.20 | 7.50 | |
| 1.35 | 5.10 | 6.75 | |
| 1.39 | 5.10 | 6.80 | |
PMU | 1.34 | 4.90 | 6.40 |
| 1.35 | 5.50 | 7.20 | |
| 1.33 | 4.90 | 6.40 | |
| 1.36 | 5.30 | 6.75 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.25 | |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.46 | 5.52 | 7.45 |
Villarreal win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Espanyol
Feb 9, 26
Villarreal
4-1
EspanyolNov 8, 25
Espanyol
0-2
VillarrealApr 27, 25
Villarreal
1-0
EspanyolSep 26, 24
Espanyol
1-2
VillarrealApr 27, 23
Villarreal
4-2
EspanyolNov 9, 22
Espanyol
0-1
VillarrealFeb 27, 22
Villarreal
5-1
EspanyolAug 21, 21
Espanyol
0-0
VillarrealFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Espanyol won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Villarreal was the favourite at 70% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Villarreal 70%, draw 18%, Espanyol 13%).